Here Is The Reason For Gold’s Massive Surge Above $1,300

With gold surging above the critical $1,300 level, today the man who provides macro research and commentary to many of the largest financial institutions and top hedge funds around the world sent KWN 6 absolutely stunning gold charts illustrating the why the gold market has smashed well above key resistance.  Eric Pomboy, who is founder of Meridian Macro Research, also provided incredible commentary to go along with the 6 remarkable gold charts, as well as what all of this means going forward for the gold market.

July 22 (King World News) – Gold Surges Through Key $1,300 Level – Charts Of The Day

COT data for week ending 7/16 show Commercials added to their Net Short Position by ‐5,566 contracts.  As for the Specs, they added +6,905 contracts, bouncing off the lowest Net Long position since 2005.  It’s too early to tell of course, but the data may signal the bottom for Gold is in.

 

 

Looking at the Net Commercial position in relation to Open Interest (see below), we get a strong flashing buy signal at these levels.  Again, too early to tell, but the data would certainly suggest a significant and extended rally is near.

 

 

The Gold relative to Net Commercial Position chart is most telling (see below).  We’ve seen a huge bounce off the historic low of ‐6.75, to ‐5.27, a 22%, 1‐week bounce.  The exact same happened at the 2005 and 2008 bottoms for Gold (at $412 and $712 respectively) — In 2005, a 1‐week (22%) bounce from ‐1.10 (low) to ‐0.85; in 2008, a 1‐week (22%) bounce from ‐1.13 (low) to ‐0.88.  Each time signaled a bottom for gold, and each time a 70‐72% rally ensued.

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/22_Here_Is_The_Reason_For_Golds_Massive_Surge_Above_$1,300.html

5 Incredible Charts Covering Gold To The “Surprise Index”

Today the man who provides macro research and commentary to many of the largest financial institutions and top hedge funds around the world sent KWN 5 incredible charts illustrating covering everything from gold to the “surprise index.” Eric Pomboy, who is founder of Meridian Macro Research, and whose sister Stephanie Pomboy appears in Barrons, also provided tremendous commentary to go along with the 5 stunning charts, as well as what all of this means going forward.

By Eric Pomboy Meridian Macro Research

July 10 (King World News) – Gold & Silver Charts Of The Day

“The COT data for week ending 7/2 show a 35% reduction in Net Commercial Position to ‐22,776 contracts … the least Net Short reading since Jan 8, 2002 when gold was $279/oz. With a Net Long reading not far off, a significant upside reversal for gold is clearly in the works.

Regarding Friday’s Payroll Report, things are not as rosy as the headline data suggest. First, 195k jobs added sounds like a solid number … but it’s only 79k jobs above the (6mo. average) of Population Growth. Second, if you look at the gap between U6 and U3 number of unemployed (chart below), the monthly change was a staggering +786k persons … the largest monthly jump since December 2008 (+800k), thus the rise in U6 rate from 13.8% to 14.3%.

Third (next chart), the number of full‐time employed dropped by ‐240k, bringing full‐time employed as % of Total Labor Force to 74.4% … still in historically low territory and indicative of a very uneven labor force (full/part time) composition. In the last 3.5 years, 5.43 million full‐time jobs have been created. In order to reach a more ‘ideal’ 79‐80% over the next 4 years (factoring‐in population growth), we’d have to create about 12 million full‐time jobs, or 250k jobs per month … which seems highly improbable. Considering full‐ time jobs dropped ‐240k and part‐time jobs jumped +360k for June, we’re clearly moving in the wrong direction.

Also, the total of Non‐Full Time employed is at a fresh historic high as of the June data…up +400k to over 28 million people. The takeaway from these numbers is: we could get to 6.5% (or even 5.5% or lower) headline U3 unemployment rate in the next few years, yet based almost entirely on part‐time job creation. None of this is good news, as quality of jobs is clearly more important than quantity….

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/10_5_Incredible_Charts_Covering_Gold_To_The_Surprise_Index.html