The Price Of Silver Is Set To Soar As Inventories Collapse

With continued volatility in global markets and oil still trading near the $106 level, today John Embry told King World News the price of silver is set to soar as inventories continue to collapse.  Embry also spoke at length about the gold market.  Below is what Embry had to say in this powerful interview.

Embry:  “I am becoming far more comfortable with the gold and silver markets after what can only be construed as an extraordinarily ugly few months.  These violent takedowns in the paper market, which bore no relation to what was going on fundamentally, have discouraged so many people.

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I guess price action is the thing that drives them crazy because people then start to doubt the fundamentals.  But what I see now is very promising….

“I see falling gold inventories almost everywhere.  We have seen how much gold has come out of the ETFs, and how much the COMEX inventories have shrunk.  And the gold that JP Morgan holds for its customers in its own accounts has also dwindled.  All of this is a precursor to a much higher move in the gold price.

At the same time I am getting extremely excited about silverEric Sprott’s revelation about all of the silver going into India because of the difficulty in that country obtaining gold due to official impediments, I think it’s a classic case of unintended consequences on the part of the Indians.  The last thing the silver market needs is a huge new demand source in terms of trying to keep the price under control.

I am also seeing that JP Morgan is feverishly trying to acquire as much physical silver at the same time they are reducing their paper short position.  So I don’t think we have much longer to wait for a real explosion in silver prices.  And if I’m right on both gold and silver, this will be seen as the single finest buying opportunity in the entire bull market which is now in its 13th year.”

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/16_The_Price_Of_Silver_Is_Set_To_Soar_As_Inventories_Collapse.html

“This Will Trigger A Tidal Wave Of Short Covering In Gold”

With Ben Bernanke ready to deliver his semi-annual monetary policy report to Congress starting today, a legend in the business warned King World News about what is going to “trigger a tidal wave of short covering in gold.” Keith Barron, who consults with major companies around the world and is responsible for one of the largest gold discoveries in the last quarter century, also spoke with KWN about the massive global demand for both gold and silver and what he is directly experiencing in the marketplace.

Barron: “Right now I am focused on the gold price. We are up over $100 off the lows on gold and silver has broken through $20. All of this is thanks to Bernanke, who shot himself in the foot yet again with talk about tapering QE again. This trashed the stock market briefly and had spectacularly chaotic consequences in the bond market as well….

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“Anyway, the net effect was this caused a tremendous amount of disruption in key markets and I think he was chastised for that. So he came out with a speech and it was a complete turnaround from the FOMC minutes. The 180 degree turn was, ‘all systems go, and keep the printing presses going.’

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/17_This_Will_Trigger_A_Tidal_Wave_Of_Short_Covering_In_Gold.html

Hinde Capital On China, Gold, AndThe Continuing Unravelling Of Our Monetary Order

The global crisis is a financial crisis driven primarily by global trade and capital imbalances; and Hinde Capital believes the crisis is in full swing again and asset prices are in danger of falling globally. Money is less effective at catching the falling knife. Investors and policymakers do not believe this is the beginning of a major EM contagion crisis. They are lulling themselves into a false sense of security. They see the EM market tremors, and do not fear a re-run of the EM crises of old. They are right. This is not (just) going to be an EM crisis. The disproportionate reaction of central bankers and policymakers alike has merely succeeded in compounding and exacerbating the error of this highly imbalanced monetary system. Recent events in emerging countries are a manifestation of the continuing unravelling of our monetary order.

Via Hinde Capital,

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Over the past four decades the global economy has largely experienced prolonged imbalances, with countries running large current account deficits in symbiotic relationships with those running large surpluses. In our recent HindeSight Investor Letter – Top of the BoPs (below) – we revisit our long held belief that the current monetary order as defined by a constellation of exchange rate arrangements between the major global currencies, and which maintained these imbalances artificially, has led to excessive global liquidity and credit creation. This in turn drove a litany of asset price bubbles.

The bursting of these asset bubbles has continued in a series these past two decades, each one’s demise leading to more disruptive policy responses which have only succeeded in igniting yet more bubbles, only for those too to fail.

Finally in 2008 we witnessed the finale of decades of credit creation, rising in what appeared to be a crescendo of credit excess and widespread asset booms. We saw this event as the death throes of an unstable monetary regime, only then to see an unprecedented global reaction by policymakers in a coordinated fashion to keep the global system alive. For a moment here today, there are those who dare to believe they have succeeded, with rising equity markets a testimony to a reviving global economy. Nothing could be further from reality.

We stand by our assessment that the disproportionate reaction of central bankers and policymakers alike has merely succeeded in compounding and exacerbating the error of this highly imbalanced monetary system. Recent events in emerging countries are a manifestation of the continuing unravelling of our monetary order.

In the 1980s it was a hike by the US Fed that triggered the LatAm crisis. Today, the mere whisper of tighter monetary conditions in the US, vis-a-vis a tapering of QE has led to higher bond rates globally. Note tapering is not the same as hiking interest rates.

The consequences of multiple rounds of QE have heightened global risks as it has both exacerbated ‘currency competition’ and hot capital flows into countries seeking desperately for a return both from income and capital growth. This has created major distortions in term rates, equity and bond values, driving them artificially high in price.

These distortions have created risks far greater than the fragilities of EM countries of yesterday years. The system of credit creation has produced unstable growth underpinned with collateral which is both mobile and suspect in its integrity.

Investors have nowhere to turn, emerging market countries growth is faltering in response to export disadvantages brought about by rampant G10 currency devaluations. China is finally succumbing to its side of the global imbalance excesses. First it was the deficit nations now it’s the turn of the creditor nations to falter, primarily China.

Trade flow reversals are leading to massive capital outflows out of EMs and the question remains: will the central banks of these countries sell their FX reserves, UST- bonds and euro government bonds (bunds) to finance this surge in outflows?

It is not clear that renewed global central bank liquidity provision will even stabilise a situation we see as growing dire by the day. China is the driver. All eyes on china.

We believe the bursting of the ‘Great Bond Bubble’ will lead to a formative and substantial rise in gold as official money, institutional and investor money seeks an asset that can protect us all from a global default and resetting of the monetary order. The time to buy gold is fast approaching, if that time is not already upon us.

HindeSight Investor Letter June 2013 – Top of the BoPs


Source: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-07-15/hinde-capital-china-gold-andthe-continuing-unravelling-our-monetary-order