Gold refuses to buckle on attempted raid/In silver 14.86 million oz standing on first day/ in gold a huge 4.46 tonnes standing

Gold closed up $3.80 to $1472.20 (comex closing time).  Silver unchanged at $24.18  (comex closing time).

In the access market at 5 pm gold and silver  rose :

gold: $1476.30
silver: $24.35

At the comex, the open interest in silver fell  by a healthy 1844 contracts to 146,310 contracts as we had some short covering. The silver OI is  holding firm at elevated levels . The open interest on the gold contract rose by 6525 contracts to 422,733. Today is first day notice in both gold and silver and at first glance we will have 143,500 oz of gold stand in this non active month of May  (4.4 tonnes).

In silver, at first glance we will have 14.86 million oz standing for delivery.
I will provide details for you below.

Today, physical gold continues to leave London with 2.14 tonnes of gold departing the GLD for the shores of China/and or Russia.

We had good commentaries today from Mark Grant, Ambrose Evans Pritchard, Jim Sinclair, Rosie Murray West of the UK Telegraph, Michael Kreiger on CME President Duffy, Bill Murphy and James Turk on Barrick and Pascua Lama and Glenys Sim of Bloomberg on gold‘s huge demand.

Good paper stories are provided by of course, zero hedge and Marc to Market

We will go over these and other stories but first…………………….

Let us now head over to the comex and assess trading over there today:

The total gold comex open interest rose by 6,525 contracts today  from 416,206  up to 422,733,  with gold rising by $14.80 on Monday.  The front April OI is now off the board. Today is first day notice for the May Gold contract.  Last night we had a rather large 1288 notices sent down for first day delivery.  The number of OI contracts standing this afternoon is represented by 1435 contracts or 143,500 oz of gold.  So a preliminary reading of the amount that will stand will be 143,500 oz or 4.46 tonnes.  That amount will probably rise as the month progresses. The next active contract month is June and here the OI rose by 2253 contracts to 246,611. June is the second biggest delivery month in gold‘s calender.  The estimated volume today was fair at 150,640.   The confirmed volume on Monday was also fair at 145,114 contracts.

The total silver comex OI fell  by a hefty 1844  contracts from 148,154 down to 146,310  with silver‘s $0.42 rise on Monday. No doubt we had some short covering today.  Those contracts  that remain are stoic and ready to take on the bankers at their crooked game. Today is first day notice for the active silver contract month.  Late last night a rather large 1506 contracts were served upon or 7.530 million oz.  At 1:30 this afternoon we learned that 2,972 contracts are standing first for 14.86 million oz. No doubt JPMorgan will be busy handing out fiat to encourage these longs not to take possession of the physical metal.  The next  delivery month for silver is June and here the OI fell by 13 contracts to stand at 486. The next big active contract month is July and here the OI rose by 4504 contracts to rest tonight at 79,509.   The estimated volume today was good, coming in at 38,700 contracts.  The confirmed volume yesterday was very good at 75,641.

Comex gold/May contract month:

April 30.2013

May gold: first day notice

Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory in oz
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory in oz
 189,258.117 (HSBC,Scotia) oz
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory in oz
Deposits to the Customer Inventory, in oz
269.169.971 (Scotia, HSBC)
No of oz served (contracts) today
 1288  (128,800  oz)
No of oz to be served (notices)
147 (14,700)
Total monthly oz gold served (contracts) so far this month
1288  (128,800)
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Dealers inventory this month
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Customer inventory this month
189,258.117  oz

We had huge activity at the gold vaults.

The dealer had 0 deposits and 0  dealer withdrawals.

UNPRECEDENTED Shortages Of Ammo, Physical Gold And Physical SilverUNPRECEDENTED Shortages Of Ammo, Physical Gold And Physical SilverUNPRECEDENTED Shortages Of Ammo, Physical Gold And Physical Silver

All over the United States we are witnessing unprecedented shortages of ammunition, physical gold and physical silver. Recent events have helped fuel a “buying frenzy” that threatens to spiral out of control. Gun shops all over the nation are reporting that they have never seen it this bad, and in many cases any ammo that they are able to get is being sold even before it hits the shelves.

The ammo shortage has already become so severe that police departments all over America are saying that they are being told that it is going to take six months to a year to get their orders. In fact, many police departments have begun to trade and barter with one another to get the ammo that they need.

Meanwhile, the takedown of paper gold and paper silver has unleashed an avalanche of “panic buying” of physical gold and physical silver all over the planet. In the United States, some dealers are charging premiums of more than 25 percent over the spot price for gold and silver and they are getting it. People are paying these prices even though they are being told that delivery will not happen for a month or two in many cases. Some dealers are feverishly taking as many orders as they can, and they are just hoping that they will be able to get the physical gold and silver to eventually fill those orders. Personally, I have never seen anything like this. If things are this tight now, what is going to happen when the next major financial crisis strikes and people really begin to panic?

The shortages and rationing of ammunition at gun shops all over America just seem to keep getting worse. The following is from an article by a gun owner down in Texas named Brad Meyer

If you’d like to see a normally sullen sales clerk chortle with derisive pleasure, just walk into just about any gun range, sporting goods store or mass merchandiser and try and buy a couple boxes of .22 ammunition.

Gun enthusiasts are up in arms about a nationwide shortage of ammunition. Handgun ammo in general is particularly difficult to find – and when you do find it, there are restrictions on the amount you can buy and how much you’re going to be paying for it.
While the list of hard to find ammo is long, .22 long rifle and 9mm handgun ammunition are particularly difficult to find in quantity. And the few places that have it are charging a premium rate and usually limiting purchases to one box, per person, per day.

Many gun owners try to find ammunition by going on the Internet, but things have gotten so tight that now any ammo that becomes available online is often gone within seconds

There are websites where people across the country post links to where ammunition is available – and it sells out within seconds. Not minutes or hours – seconds.

Unfortunately, all of this demand is also driving up prices. Just check out what Meyer says is happening to the price of standard .22 ammo…

The demand is driving up the cost of ammunition. Six months ago, standard .22 ammo – the most common type of bullet produced in the world – could be had in bulk for around five cents apiece. It is now going for 50 cents or more on some websites – and people are paying it.

But this shortage is not just affecting private citizens. According to Newmax, police departments all over the nation are dealing with ammo shortages unlike anything that they have ever seen before…

Sheriff Anthony DeMeo of Nye County, Nev., was told his department’s regular order of 50,000 rounds could take up to a year to arrive.

“This is the first time ever I’ve heard that there’s a problem with a law-enforcement agency getting ammo for their agency,” DeMeo told The Las Vegas Sun.

These departments are not alone. Law enforcement agencies in Oklahoma, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Georgia are among many that are having to limit how much they give their officers due to the shortage.

Could you imagine waiting for “up to a year” to get more ammunition?

A recent article posted on had some more examples of police departments that are reporting that there is a massive wait to get more ammo…

Chief Pryor of Rollingwood, Texas says of the shortage:

“We started making phone calls and realized there is a waiting list up to a year. We have to limit the amount of times we go and train because we want to keep an adequate stock.”

“Nobody can get us ammunition at this point,” says Sgt. Jason LaCross of the Bozeman, Montana police department.

LaCross says that manufacturers are so far behind that they won’t even give him a quote for an order.

“We have no estimated time on when it will even be available,” LaCross says.

This is insane.

What in the world could be causing such an ammo crunch?

Well, certainly the demand for guns and ammo has been trending up in recent years – especially since Barack Obama was elected.

But that doesn’t fully account for the shortages that we are witnessing at the moment.

So what is going on?

Well, some people believe that the federal government is responsible. It has been reported that they have signed contracts to purchase “up to” 1.6 billion rounds of ammunition. According to Forbes, this amount of ammunition would be enough to fight a “hot war” in America for 20 years

The Denver Post, on February 15th, ran an Associated Press article entitled Homeland Security aims to buy 1.6b rounds of ammo, so far to little notice. It confirmed that the Department of Homeland Security has issued an open purchase order for 1.6 billion rounds of ammunition. As reported elsewhere, some of this purchase order is for hollow-point rounds, forbidden by international law for use in war, along with a frightening amount specialized for snipers. Also reported elsewhere, at the height of the Iraq War the Army was expending less than 6 million rounds a month. Therefore 1.6 billion rounds would be enough to sustain a hot war for 20+ years. In America.

Could this be a way that the Obama administration is trying to restrict the amount of ammo that gets into the hands of private citizens?

That is what some people are suggesting.

According to talk radio show host Michael Savage, the ammo contracts that the federal government has signed give them priority over all other purchasers…

What Homeland Security is doing here is they’re issuing a contract to buy up to that amount of ammo if they want it…

It’s a way to control the amount of market that’s available on the commercial market at any time.

If they go to the ammo manufacturers and say give me 50 million rounds, give me another 30 million rounds… if they periodically do this in increments, they’re going to control how much ammo is available on the commercial market.

As part of their contract it stipulates in there that when the government calls and says give us another quantity, that everything they make has to go to the government priority one before any of it goes to the commercial market.

So, if they get nervous, all they have to do is use that contract that they have in place… and they just say ‘give us some more.’

So whenever the government wants to tighten the supply of ammunition, all they have to do is invoke their contracts and order more for themselves.

Meanwhile, Obama appears to be doing other things to restrict the amount of ammo that gets into the hands of private gun owners.

For example, there are reports that the Obama administration plans to use executive orders to greatly restrict the importation of ammo from overseas.

So if anything, the shortage of ammunition is only going to get worse, not better.

Meanwhile, the “panic buying” of physical gold and physical silver that we have seen lately has really run down inventories.

According to Reuters, demand has become so intense that the U.S. Mint has suspended sales of gold coins for the first time since 2009…

The U.S. Mint said it has suspended sales of its one-tenth ounce American Eagle gold bullion coins as surging demand after bullion‘s plunge to two-year lows depleted the government’s inventory. This marks the first time it has stopped selling gold product since November 2009, dealers said.

At the same time, precious metals dealers all over the country are scrambling to meet the voracious demand that they have been seeing this month. The following is an excerpt from a letter that the CEO of Texas Precious Metals recently sent out to his customers…

The physical silver market is, in a word, ugly. There is no telling at this point when mint inventories will return to normal, but you can be sure it will not happen within the next 8 weeks. Most dealers, at this point, are selling their current customer demand forward, meaning they are selling product they do not presently have, expecting to pull from future mint allocations. Consequently, future allocations will face pressure from today’s demand. It is not my intent here to comment on the business practices of other companies, but I will say that no one can possibly predict future allocations at the time. The US mint, for example, releases its allocations weekly, and until then, dealers have no insight into allocation levels. Last week, we turned away business in excess of 100,000 ozs of silver because of stock depletion. However, we stand by the notion that it is better to lose a sale than lose a customer by delaying delivery two months (or more).

A similar thing is happening over in Asia. According to the Financial Times, soaring demand has caused a shortage of gold at the Hong Kong Gold & Silver Exchange Society…

Haywood Cheung, president of the Hong Kong Gold & Silver Exchange Society, said the exchange had effectively run out of most of its holdings as members looked to meet a shortfall in supply amid rampant retail demand for gold products.

“In terms of volume, I haven’t seen this gold rush for over 20 years,” he told the Financial Times on Monday, adding that the exchange only had around twenty 1kg bars, and 100 five-tael bars left in its inventory. “Older members who have been in the business for 50 years haven’t seen such a thing.”

But most disturbing of all is what Jim Sinclair told King World News recently. Apparently his friend went to get his gold out of a Swiss bank the other day and they refused to give it to him…

A person that I know with significant deposits in one of the primary Swiss banks, in allocated gold, wanted to take out his gold and was just refused on the basis of directives from the central bank….

They told him the amount was in excess of 200,000 Swiss francs and the central bank had instructed them not to do it because it has to do with anti-terrorism and anti-money laundering precautions.

I really wonder whether those are precautions or whether the gold simply isn’t there. Now you tell me that a London delivery has basically failed. It has to raise our suspicions that the lack of physical gold behind the paper gold is literally so severe that we are coming to understand that it is in fact not there.

The gold that people think is stored is not stored, and the inventory of the warehouses for exchanges may not be holding deliverable gold. There has always been speculation about whether or not the physical gold the US claims to store is in fact in those vaults.

The greatest train robbery in history might be all of the gold, and it would only be something like we have described above that would happen right before gold makes historic highs.

There simply is no gold behind the paper. One example is AMRO, a second is your example with Maguire, and a third is my dear friend who was refused his gold on the basis that its value was too high. Remember this friend of mine had his gold in an allocated account in storage at a major Swiss bank. I repeat, there is no gold.

So are we going to see more of this?

Will it soon become evident that there is simply not enough physical gold to cover all of the promises that the banks have made?

Jim Sinclair sure seems to think so.

In another interview, John Embry expressed similar sentiments to King World News

This gets back to the tip of the iceberg when the Dutch Bank ABN AMRO came out and literally said that if you have allocated gold with us, you can’t have it.

That, to me, is a default, and it gets back to what Jim Sinclair related when one of his friends went to a Swiss bank and couldn’t get his allocated gold. I mean that’s preposterous. If it’s allocated it should be there, but it’s clearly not there. I think this is the beginning of the end of the massive Ponzi scheme in paper gold. I have been talking about this for some time, and it will have an enormous impact on future gold and silver prices.

When it becomes widely known that all of the people who think they own gold in fact don’t own gold, that it’s been hypothecated and re-hypothecated so many times that there are 100 claims for every single ounce of physical gold, that is when the prices of gold and silver will really go berserk to the upside, and at that point the shorts will have serious problems.”

If those that helped engineer the recent takedown of paper gold and silver were hoping to scare people away from physical gold and silver, then they failed miserably. For even more on this, please see my recent article entitled “10 Signs The Takedown Of Paper Gold Has Unleashed An Unprecedented Global Run On Physical Gold And Silver”.

All of this is just another example why I encourage people to get prepared while times are still relatively good.

Once disaster strikes, it may be too late to get the things that you need.

Right now there are a whole lot of people out there wishing that they had stocked up on ammo when it was much cheaper and much more readily available.

We are moving into a time when everything that can be shaken will be shaken. Use the stability provided by the false bubble of economic hope that we are experiencing right now as an opportunity to get prepared. The next major wave of the economic collapse is rapidly approaching and time is running out.


Panic In The Gold Market Creating Problems For Shorts

On the heels of Jim Sinclair telling KWN that a full-blown panic has developed in the financial world with people wanting to know where their gold is, today John Embry spoke with King World News about this explosive situation and how he believes it will unfold. Below is what Embry, who is chief investment strategist at Sprott Asset Management, had to say in his interview:

Embry: “There was a fascinating study done by Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart which stated that once an economy gets to 90% government funded debt as a percentage of GDP, its growth rate slows dramatically. This was one of the underpinnings of the austerity movement.

Well, now they’ve come out and done an about face and said that model was all wrong. This is indicative of the fact they (central planners) realize if that if they don’t go to the printing press immediately, this whole thing is going to collapse….

“I think that is wildly bullish for gold. It’s just another signal that the central planners realize the only way to sustain this is by coming up with some theory that says it is OK to have more debt and print more money.

Logic dictates that if you get beyond a certain percentage of debt in your system, you’ve got a problem with growth going forward. I don’t think it’s important whether that level is 90% debt/GDP or 95%. But I think Rogoff and Reinhart’s theory is totally accurate, and the fact that they are trying to dispute it is just proof positive that they are desperate to end any talk of austerity and really get the serious money printing going.”