The Savage Gold War Behind The Scenes

With global stocks, the US dollar, and gold all surging, today one of the savviest and well connected hedge fund managers in the world sent King World News the most amazing chart concerning what is happening in the gold market.  Outspoken Hong Kong hedge fund manager William Kaye also spoke with KWN about what is really going on behind the scenes in the gold war.  Kaye, who 25 years ago worked for Goldman Sachs in mergers and acquisitions, had this to say in part II of his remarkable interview.

Kaye:  “As you and I are talking now, we’re a little bit below $1,250 on gold which is ridiculously low.  On the numbers we are looking at that would mean that roughly half of the production of the mining community of the world is unprofitable, which is stunning when you think about it.

What is going on is unprecedented….

“It’s unsustainable, and like anything that is unsustainable it won’t be sustained.  So this is a great opportunity for people who do have an interest in possibly adding to or initiating new positions in gold or precious metals.  We are at levels that I think are extremely attractive, Eric.”

Eric King:  “Bill, what about this chart that you sent me going over the various entities out there that hold gold for retail and institutional investors?  Can you talk about that?”

Kaye:  “Yes, I’m happy to.  Pick up the Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times, watch CNBC if you want to have your brain damaged, you’ll get the same narrative (regarding gold).

And it’s a scary narrative, which is that people are panicked — there is a bear market in gold.  And they (the mainstream media) never make a distinction between the paper market in gold and the physical bullion market.  That is a very important distinction for your listeners (and readers) to make.

But the narrative is that people are panicked, and because they are panicked they are selling into the market to whoever will buy.  And this is why the gold inventories, the Spyder Gold Trust and the other major exchange traded funds (gold holdings) have been so rapidly reduced.

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/9_William_Kaye_-_The_Savage_Gold_War_Behind_The_Scenes.html

Former White House Official – Expect More Government Theft

Today the former Special Assistant to the President of the United States for Economic Policy and former member of the U.S. President’s Working Group on Financial Markets issued a disturbing and even frightening warning to King World News to expect more government theft going forward.  While in the White House, Dr. Philippa “Pippa” Malmgren served as financial market advisor in the White House and functioned as the liaison between the White House and the Federal Reserve.  

Dr. Malmgren formerly headed the Global Asset Management business for Bankers Trust in Asia, out of Hong Kong, and was also Chief Currency Strategist for Bankers Trust Company, and former Head of Global Investment Strategy at UBS.  Dr. Malmgren was also a senior consultant to Deutsche Bank, and currently advises the largest sovereign wealth funds, hedge funds, and pension funds in the world.  Below is what Dr. Malmgren had to say in the third and final of a remarkable three part interview series which has now been released on King World News. 

Dr. Malmgren spoke about government theft going forward:  “Look, we are in a world where every major industrialized government doesn’t have the funds to deliver on the promises they’ve made to the public.  So they are going to reach for the public’s cash in different ways….

“Some of it is through higher taxes.  Some of it is what I would call ‘expropriation,’ although taxation and even inflation are a version of that.  But for example, Portugal, about a year ago, announced that they were nationalizing three of Portugal Telecom’s pension funds and placing the assets on the government’s balance sheet so that the government’s balance sheet would look better for the purposes of negotiating with the EU.

Now, were those pensioners expropriated?  Yes.  It made page 14 of the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times, as if it was a non-event.  But I think what we saw in Cyprus, a really overt expropriation, we are going to see that come in lots of different forms (going forward).  Some of it will be obvious like Cyprus.  Some of it will be subtle like Portugal, but what’s sure is that it’s happening.”

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/6/8_Former_White_House_Official_-_Expect_More_Government_Theft.html

Declines in Gold Prices Are Not Over Yet

The fall in the price of gold has triggered a new run on physical gold that shows no sign of abating. Record amounts of money have exited ‘paper,’ i.e. futures and ETFs, and headed straight to the bank or the mint to be exchanged for coins and bullion bars — that is, if one can get them. The strength of physical retail buying has taken dealers and mints around the world by surprise, leaving them scrambling to keep up with demand. The sudden surge is evidence of pent-up demand, particularly from China and India.

There seems to be a growing disconnect between paper and real gold. It’s very likely that the paper sellers didn’t foresee the rush to physical gold. Could it be the case that the physical market is lagging behind and will eventually catch up and sell off too? Let’s look at some of the evidence.

Physical Gold, an investment company, said there were waiting lists of three weeks for some coins, and four to six weeks for gold bars whereas previously all would have been available within a few days.

The US mint had to suspend sales of certain coins as buying increased. It sold an estimated 210,000 ounces of gold coins in April — almost three and half times more than the 62,000 it sold in March.

The Perth Mint worked overtime over the weekend to manufacture enough stock to meet orders, which are at levels last seen in the 2008 financial crisis (confirmation of the 2008 – present analogy).

There are reports that both Istanbul and Dubai are out of investment bars, according to Bloomberg, with wholesale and bulk buyers paying a premium of between $6 and $9 an ounce for kilo bars.

A US coin shop said that sales of Krugerrand have increased 468% last week as investors rush to get the precious metal at what they see as a bargain rate.

The Financial Times wrote that Asia is witnessing one of the strongest waves of physical gold buying in 30 years. “Buyers Scour Asia for Physical Gold,” proclaimed the headline.

Swiss refiners have run out of kilo gold bars (cost: around $48,000). There is now a one-month wait for delivery.

Physical stocks of gold held at CME Group’s (NASDAQ:CME) Comex warehouses in New York have dropped to a near-five-year low in a further sign that gold‘s price crash unleashed a frenzy of demand, according to a Reuter’s report.

Well…you get the point. The gold bugs are coming out of the woodwork and they want the kind of gold they can bite between their teeth. World over, private investors have taken advantage of the dip to pounce on physical gold. Keep in mind that there is some effort that goes into buying physical gold. It’s not like placing an order online for the purchase of ETF shares. Most physical gold buyers are not in it for the short term — they plan to hold on.

At my firm, we have always advocated physical gold over the paper kind for long-term investments. If your investment time horizon is more than a year, you want to purchase the physical metal, not somebody’s promise to pay you some money down the line based on the price of the metal. For short-term trades, however, ETF shares are OK.

To see what is in store for the price of gold in the following weeks, let’s turn to the chart section. We will start with the yellow metal’s medium-term chart .


A closer look shows us that gold has actually corrected to its previous support level (declining, dashed line) and verified this as resistance. At this time, it could just be a pause within a rally, but generally the main short-term trend here is down, although we have had a correction of about one-half of gold’s recent decline. It seems now that the move to the downside will continue and the RSI suggests this is clearly possible.

Source: http://www.minyanville.com/sectors/precious-metals/articles/Declines-in-Gold-Prices-Are-Not/5/7/2013/id/49679