The Fed Is Creating Enormous Financial Instability

Today John Mauldin warned King World News that the U. S. Federal Reserve is creating enormous instability in the global financial system. Mauldin, who is President of Millennium Wave Securities, also cautioned that if things spin out of control, “the central bank doesn’t have any weapons.”

Mauldin: “I’ve been doing a lot of thinking about the future. I’m in the process of finishing up a book with the co-author of ‘End Game.’ We have a book coming out this fall called, ‘Code Red.’

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We are writing about quantitative easing, currency wars, and the next 5 years. The upshot of it is that our current policies in both governments, and in central banking, are coming to a point that it’s (actually) increasing the instability of the system….

“As an example, Bernanke gave a hint that they might begin to reduce the amount of money they are injecting into the system and the stock market just threw up. So within a week there were like 6 or 7 Federal Reserve types that were out saying, ‘No, no, no. That’s not what we meant.’

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/17_Mauldin_-_The_Fed_Is_Creating_Enormous_Financial_Instability.html

The Fed Has Set America Up For Disaster

On the heels of continued volatility in key global markets, the Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, discussed gold at length and also warned that the Federal Reserve has set America up for “disaster.” This is a fantastic piece where Russell notes the gold market may be ready to roar as physical gold is continuing to be drained from the COMEX.

Richard Russell: “Everybody knows that the US has an almost unsolvable problem with debt. Let’s call it a predicament, since there is no way of solving the debt problem in an acceptable way (I mean in a politically acceptable way). Of course we could declare sovereign bankruptcy — or we could turn to hyperinflation and literally inflate our way out of the debt-trap. But neither would be acceptable or politically possible.

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But before the predicted disaster, you can be certain that the coming trouble will be sensed and registered in the price of something. It will show in the price of stocks or gold or bonds or the dollar. In other words, it will show somewhere in price.

What about the bond market — isn’t the bond market now saying, “trouble ahead?” In my opinion, not yet. True, bonds have taken a beating in recent months, but I don’t call the decline in bonds, so far, a red-flag prediction of disaster … And the stock market continues to rise, probably based on the current ocean of liquidity.

How about gold? Ah, gold may be about to raise the red alarm-flag. But not quite yet. As a personal opinion, I believe gold has now put in a major bottom. Wait — what about price? Ah, there you’ve got me. Even if a bottom has been put in, we have not yet seen the “meat.” The price of gold has not yet started to boom. It’s one thing to say that you believe “the bottom is in,” but it’s another thing to see the item surge off its low.

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/15_Richard_Russell_-_The_Fed_Has_Set_America_Up_For_Disaster.html

Paulson Gold Fund Down 65% In 2013

With spot gold prices down 28% year-to-date, it appears John Paulson‘s Gold Fund has managed to create some epic high-beta losses.

In a letter to investors, Paulson explains his fund fell 23% in June, is down 65% in 2013; but do not fear – as he concludes time and time again, the gold fund will “produce outsized returns in the long-run”.

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From Bloomberg:

John Paulson, the billionaire hedge-fund manager seeking to rebound from losses tied to bullion, posted a 23 percent decline in his PFR Gold Fund last month, according to a letter to investors.

The drop brings losses in the strategy, formerly known as the Paulson Gold Fund, to 65 percent since the start of the year, the firm said in the July 3 letter, a copy of which was obtained by Bloomberg News. The fund, which consists mostly of Paulson’s own money, is the smallest strategy of the $19 billion money manager and the only one to post losses this year.

The firm reiterated its commitment to investing in bullion and stocks of gold producers for protection against currency debasement as central banks pump money into the global economy. Gold dropped 12 percent in June, the most since October 2008, after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said he may start reducing bond purchases that have fueled gains in financial markets globally.

“Although the timing is uncertain, if you have a long-term view we believe the funds offer the potential for outsized returns,” the firm wrote in the letter.

Armel Leslie, a spokesman for Paulson & Co. at Walek & Associates, declined to comment on the letter.

What is there to say.

Source: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-07-08/and-scene-paulson-gold-fund-down-65-2013