Financial Meltdown, Back-To-Back “Stick Saves” & Gold

On the heels of more turbulence in key global markets, today 40-year veteran, Robert Fitzwilson, put together another extraordinary piece. Fitzwilson, who is founder of The Portola Group, discussed financial meltdown, back-to-back “stick saves,” and what this all means for battered traders and investors in the gold market. Below is Fitzwilson’s outstanding and exclusive piece for KWN.

Fitzwilson: “There is a term in ice hockey called a stick save. Instead of using the curved end of the hockey stick, the player uses the handle end to move the puck. It has been described as having no points for style, and often fails, but sometimes saves the day for the player and his or her team.

Below is a chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average from 1970 to the present. You can clearly see two stick saves early last decade and the second during the 2008 meltdown.

The first stick save was engineered largely by the policy of driving rates to zero. While it saved the stock market and thrust the real estate markets to new heights, it sowed the seeds for the horrendous crash in 2008….

“A larger stick save was required in the 2008 debacle, requiring the completion of the zero interest rate objective as well as the creation of massive amounts of money on a global and historic scale.

It is no wonder that many people are terrified of equities when one looks at this chart. The volatility has been incredible. You can barely see the Crash of 1987 on the chart, although that was a stomach churning decline on the order of 23%.

The chart below is for gold during the same period.

While the Dow Jones has increased by roughly 14 times since 1980, the price of gold has merely doubled from the peak. Despite that disparity, most people look favorably at the chart for stocks, and are adamant that gold is overvalued.

For stocks, valuation metrics are used such as price-to-earnings ratios. For gold, there is no attempt to relate the price to the forces that drives the metal’s price. What drives gold is the excessive, massive creation of fiat currency. Since 1980, the amount of debt-based money has exploded. If that simple valuation metric of comparing the price of gold to the amount of money is applied, gold is drastically undervalued.

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/3_Financial_Meltdown,_Back-To-Back_Stick_Saves_%26_Gold.html

$300 Trillion In Derivatives Losses To Lead Gold’s Rebound

Today Egon von Greyerz warned King World News that the global derivatives market has already suffered a staggering $300 trillion of losses.  These massive derivatives losses, which are being hidden from the public, will help lead the rebound in gold as it begins the next leg of its bull market.  Below is what Greyerz, who is founder of Matterhorn Asset Management out of Switzerland, had to say in this powerful interview.

Greyerz:  “A few years ago when the problems in Greece started, it was found that the Goldman Sachs had helped them to hide the real truth of their economy by a major derivatives positions.

 

Now we’ve found out that Italy has done exactly the same thing.  They took out derivatives in order to meet euro criteria back in the late 1990s.  They had a total of $31 billion of derivatives and now they are finding that at least $8 billion of that is worthless.  That’s about 30% of the entire position….

 

“This just illustrates what I’ve been saying time and time again, that a major part of the over one quadrillion dollars of derivatives currently held in the financial world is worthless.  Here you have a typical position that a government is taking, $31 billion of derivatives, and 30% is worthless.

 

If you then overlay that loss into the total amount of global derivatives, the loss would be a staggering $300 trillion.  It would not surprise me if $300 trillion is in fact very close to the total losses on global derivatives.  If that is the case it means that no counterparty can cover those type of losses, so in reality the entire financial system is bankrupt.

 

This is why the world will witness money printing on an unprecedented scale going forward, despite misinformation and propaganda about “tapering of QE.”  So central planners are just hiding the truth and lying to the public.

 

If we continue to look at Italy, 160 corporations are in “special crisis administration.”  That’s 160 major companies in Italy alone are in serious financial trouble.  But Italy has a stunning debt to GDP ratio of 238%.  In reality it’s probably a lot higher than 238% because of the derivatives losses which have been used to conceal the truth about what is really taking place.

 

But what this means is we can’t trust any government figures.  This is why Draghi recently said, “There is still downside risk.”  Of course there is downside risk, and that risk is massive.  If we look at the European banking system, it’s terminal.  People can never repay their debts to those banks, and of course the banks have continued to borrow money from the ECB since 2008.  Of all of the bad debts these banks have, remember that nothing has been written off or even written down so far.

 

And of course the central banks have bought worthless debts directly from the banks in Europe.  The ECB over the last 11 years has grown its balance sheet over 200%.  The Fed’s balance sheet has grown 400%.  The Chinese central bank has grown its balance sheet 660%, and the Bank of England 800%.  England’s balance sheet has gone from $2 trillion to $9 trillion, and of course that debt can never be repaid.

 

Not only are the central banks highly leveraged, but so are the commercial banks.  France is also in a mess.  French bank Credit Agricole has a remarkable 46 times leverage!  So if there is 2% bad debt, the capital of that bank is wiped out.  Another French bank is using 40 times leverage.  Credit Suisse, if you use Basel III rules, also has 40 times leverage.  Deutsche Bank has 30 times leverage.

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/6/28_$300_Trillion_In_Derivatives_Losses_To_Lead_Golds_Rebound.html

Gold Panic & The Accelerating Great Collapse

With enormous volatility in key global markets this summer, John Williams, of Shadowstats, just released an incredibly important report which contained an ominous warning. This tremendous report also had a powerful chart as well, and King World News wanted to pass it along to our global readers:

Here is the ominous warning from John Williams of Shadowstats: “U.S. Dollar Remains (the) Proximal Hyperinflation Trigger. The unfolding fiscal catastrophe, in combination with the Fed’s direct monetization of Treasury debt, eventually (more likely sooner rather than later) will savage the U.S. dollar’s exchange rate, boosting oil and gasoline prices, and boosting money supply growth and domestic U.S. inflation. Relative market tranquility has given way to mounting instabilities, and severe market turmoil likely looms, despite the tactics of delay by the politicians and ongoing obfuscation by the Federal Reserve.

This should become increasingly evident as the disgruntled global markets begin to move sustainably against the U.S. dollar. As discussed earlier, a dollar-selling panic is likely this year—still of reasonably high risk in the next month or so—with its effects and aftershocks setting hyperinflation into action in 2014. Gold remains the primary and long-range hedge against the upcoming debasement of the U.S. dollar, irrespective of any near-term price gyrations in the gold market.

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/6/27_John_Williams_-_Gold_Panic_%26_The_Accelerating_Great_Collapse.html