Here Is A Huge Key To The Markets

With global stock markets on the move, investors and professionals are wondering where the markets are headed from here.  KWN thought it would be a good time to pass along key indicators which help provide a clue as to the future direction based on sentiment.

Here is the latest Investors Intelligence report along with the all-important sentiment chart:  “Stocks rallied further last week with more indexes ending at new closing highs.  Many show new records while the NASDAQ highs are from 2000 … Indicators are bullish but also overbought with many at prior highs.  The quick recovery from June’s selloff was hard to ignore and more newsletter editors turned bullish.  That figure would have been even higher except for a few shifts away from that outlook from advisors who noted negative divergences with the new highs.

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The Roadmap From A Gold Bottom To A Mania

On the heels of historic movements in key global markets, today 40-year veteran, Robert Fitzwilson, put together another tremendous piece. Fitzwilson, who is founder of The Portola Group, laid out the roadmap from a gold bottom to a coming mania. Below is Fitzwilson’s outstanding and exclusive piece for KWN.

Fitzwilson: On June 27th, in a note to clients and friends of the firm, we suggested that the panic in the metals and mining sectors was so extreme that it had to be a bottom by everything we have experienced and studied in our careers. The chart below suggests that our call was correct, at least based upon what has ensued so far.

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The top line is the Amex “Gold Bug’s Index” (HUI) which represents a basket of gold mining companies. The bottom two are for the S&P 500 and gold. The returns in the chart are for the period since our call to the close of trading last week. As you can see the Index nearly tripled the return of gold itself….

“It is also interesting that the Index nearly tripled the return of the S&P 500 Index in that same period. Hardly a trading session goes by without the headline being “The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Indexes hit new highs”. The reality is that the bulk of the stock market strength that had been so loudly touted occurred during the first quarter of this year.

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/21_The_Roadmap_From_A_Gold_Bottom_To_A_Mania.html

Here Is The Reason For Gold’s Massive Surge Above $1,300

With gold surging above the critical $1,300 level, today the man who provides macro research and commentary to many of the largest financial institutions and top hedge funds around the world sent KWN 6 absolutely stunning gold charts illustrating the why the gold market has smashed well above key resistance.  Eric Pomboy, who is founder of Meridian Macro Research, also provided incredible commentary to go along with the 6 remarkable gold charts, as well as what all of this means going forward for the gold market.

July 22 (King World News) – Gold Surges Through Key $1,300 Level – Charts Of The Day

  • Dow Jones 30,000 Trigger Leaked by 27-Year-Old Stock Research Firm CLICK HERE
  • The Inevitable: Dow Jones 30,000 CLICK HERE

COT data for week ending 7/16 show Commercials added to their Net Short Position by ‐5,566 contracts.  As for the Specs, they added +6,905 contracts, bouncing off the lowest Net Long position since 2005.  It’s too early to tell of course, but the data may signal the bottom for Gold is in.

 

 

Looking at the Net Commercial position in relation to Open Interest (see below), we get a strong flashing buy signal at these levels.  Again, too early to tell, but the data would certainly suggest a significant and extended rally is near.

 

 

The Gold relative to Net Commercial Position chart is most telling (see below).  We’ve seen a huge bounce off the historic low of ‐6.75, to ‐5.27, a 22%, 1‐week bounce.  The exact same happened at the 2005 and 2008 bottoms for Gold (at $412 and $712 respectively) — In 2005, a 1‐week (22%) bounce from ‐1.10 (low) to ‐0.85; in 2008, a 1‐week (22%) bounce from ‐1.13 (low) to ‐0.88.  Each time signaled a bottom for gold, and each time a 70‐72% rally ensued.

Source: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/22_Here_Is_The_Reason_For_Golds_Massive_Surge_Above_$1,300.html