Gold likely to hold steady in 2013 with improved growth, say experts

Mumbai: Gold is likely to hold steady-to-firm in 2013 and could reach Rs 33,000-level as economic growth prospects improve and certain international factors push up the commodity’s price, market experts have said.

In the long term, gold looks firm with most central banks pushing liquidity into the markets and increasing their loading of the yellow metal, Kotak Commodity Services analyst Madhavi Mehta said.

The central banks of Brazil and Russia are reportedly planning to increase their gold holding next year, she said.

“We expect gold to rule at Rs 28,000-33,000 level in the domestic market in 2013. However, stabilising rupee, which may come to 50 level, and fiscal cliff concerns may act bearish for gold,” she said.

Expectations of the economy improving and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) providing momentum in equity markets are also likely to support gold, she said.

Globally, the yellow metal may rule at $1,550-1,850 an ounce (31.10 grams) level, she said.

Gold prices last week closed at Rs 30,600 per 10 grams in the domestic market, while in the global markets it was at $1,658 an ounce.

With a fair bit of correction already taken place in December due to year-end profit booking, Mehta said, in near term gold is likely to rule at Rs 29,800-Rs 31,500 range.

“Amid the US fiscal cliff situation the market is expecting the US government to reach at least a partial deal, which will bring in a positive market sentiment that will be positive for gold. Therefore, we expect gold price to recover in January 2013,” she added.

Echoing a similar view, Commtrendz Research Director Gnanasekar Thiagarajan said the market is waiting for a very long time for resolution on the US fiscal cliff issue.

Gold is likely to reach even Rs 33,000-34,000 levels in the long run in the domestic market, he said.
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